Will China control Taiwan in 2040? | Manifold

Will China control Taiwan in 2040?

21

1kṀ2242

2040

50%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This question resolves to "YES" if for the whole duration of year 2040 mainland China controls majority of Taiwan territory.

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bought Ṁ15 NO

Think they'll control Taiwan before then, but lose it before 2040

Would love to bet on this but such long-term markets tie up capital for a long period :(

@TedSuzman loans system addresses this. Basically you get your mana back after a year

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