Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
7
170Ṁ912027
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Does DPP's non-corporation with China increase the chance of invasion?
Resolution follows the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/MarlonK/will-china-attempt-to-invade-taiwan
This market will resolve "yes" if there is a Chinese military attack with the intention to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027.
This question is answered "No" if there is:
no military conflict between the two parties
a limited military conflict without triggering a major war
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
21% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
9% chance
DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (Yes) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050
49% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election? (No) → Chinese Annexation of Half of Taiwan by 2050
49% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
33% chance
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
44% chance