Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?
5
100Ṁ3682049
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the Republic of China launches a ground invasion of communist China involving at least 1000 troops by 1 January 2050.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
20% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
42% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
37% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
4% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2025?
5% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
53% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
5% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025
5% chance