Which of these 2025-government-shutdown-preventing Democratic senators lose their next primary?
14
175Ṁ209
2030
61%
John Fetterman (Pennsylvania, 2028)
48%
Chuck Schumer (New York, 2028)
32%
Catherine Cortez Masto (Nevada, 2028)
32%
Kirsten Gillibrand (New York, 2030)
22%
Maggie Hassan (New Hampshire, 2028)
15%
Brian Schatz (Hawaii, 2028)
Resolved
N/A
Dick Durbin (Illinois, 2026)

Anyone who announces they will not seek reelection to the senate or flips to independent will resolve N/A. If any of them flip to be Republicans, this resolves based on their Republican primary. Gary Peters (D-MI) and Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) have announced they will not seek reelection. Angus King (I-ME) is an independent, and thus does not participate in primaries.

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What happens if they don’t run in the primary and decide to run for reelection as an independent

@JackP Also, what if Fetterman flips parties...

@JackP They'd N/A, same as them dropping out, since independent candidates don't have primaries

@JussiVilleHeiskanen If he flips parties and runs as a Republican, he'd still have to run in the primary, so this would resolve based on that primary

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