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MANIFOLD
Who Will win the 2026 Illinois Democratic Primary for the Senate Seat?
30
Ṁ2.6kṀ15k
resolved Mar 18
100%37%
Juliana Stratton
62%
Raja Krishnamoorthi
0.6%
Robin Kelly
0.2%Other

Dick Durbin is not running for re-election. Who will win the primary to replace him? The Primary will be held on March 17 2026.

Dick durbin has declined to endorse.

A bit of info on the main candidates so far:

Raja Krishnamoorthi is a current house representative and has been endorsed by 1 other house rep and 2 former reps

Robin Kelly is a current house representative and has been endorsed by Chris Murphy and 18 other house reps

Juliana Stratton is the current lieutenant governor of Illinois and has been endorsed by Jb Pritzker

Market context
US Politics
Elections
Democratic Party
2024 US Presidential Election
2024 US Election
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this was OBVIOUS in hindsight. Raja got a head start early with all his big money and advertising, but the momentum was clearly with Stratton

Gosh darn it should’ve put real money on this

NBC called the race for stratton

Damn that was fast

Resolve?

Stratton very likely! Very good as Raja is awful.

Maybe I won :o?

opened a Ṁ27 YES at 37% order

Maybe I win? :o

This will close at the market close time. I’ll only extend if @EricNeyman approves as most of the liquidity is his.

@Jack1 happy to defer to your judgment!

opened a Ṁ450 YES at 37% order

@EricNeyman ok, I think I'll close it. If I left it open it would just be bots copying kalshi odds anyway

@Jack1 is that not what human traders do????

reposted

This is tomorrow!

opened a Ṁ750 YES at 45% order

Primary is not far away!

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