Which of the Following 2026 Senate Races will be the closest?
3
125Ṁ30Dec 1
44%
Alaska
11%
Michigan
23%
North Carolina
11%
Maine
11%
Ohio
Closeness will be defined as margin of victory. I chose these 5 because I think they will be the closest and I don't have enough mana to make more. I'm too lazy to write context, you know what elections are I assume.
I set resolution date late because results took awhile in 2024 for senate I remember, idk I might change it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the 2026 Senate Election in Texas?
Who will win Minnesota's 2026 Senate Election?
Which Party will win the 2026 Illinois Senate Election
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
What will be the tipping point Senate seat for Democrats in the 2026 elections?
Which party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Will the 2026 NC Senate race be the most expensive Senate race of 2026?
23% chance
Ohio 2026 Governor + Senate Bets
What will be the margin in the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Which incumbent Representative or Senator will have the lowest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?