MANIFOLD
In which election cycle will Democrats next win control of the Senate?
21
Ṁ320Ṁ4.3k
2030
1.9%
2024
33%
2026
25%
2028
40%
Other

Close date to be extended and new options to be added until this happens or until the Democratic party/US Senate ceases to exist.

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opened a Ṁ1,500 NO at 20% order

imo the most within-the-realm-of-possibility scenario is that 2026 they keep what they have and flip Maine and NC, then 2028 they keep what they have and flip WI and the other NC - and that's assuming they don't lose Georgia in 2026 or PA in 2028

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