MANIFOLD
Who will win a majority in the March 3, 2026 Texas Democratic Senate Primary?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ223
Mar 10
20%
Jasmine Crockett
44%
James Talarico
35%
No one
1.2%
Other

One candidate must win a majority in the primary next week to avoid a run-off. This market resolves to a candidate that does so, or to "No one" if no candidate achieves a majority and a run-off is required to be held.

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