What will be true of the "Manifold: Live!" New Year's Resolutions Special?
Manifold: Live!
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Jan 2
87%
at least 5 markets will resolve N/A
73%
Manifold will compensate the moderators who spent a significant chunk of their day resolving markets (resolves to spirit).
22%
We will have 10 or more special guests
Resolved
YES
There will be a Resolvathon (resolving as many New Year's markets as we can)
Resolved
YES
We will have 3 or more special guests
Resolved
YES
We will have 5 or more special guests
Resolved
YES
There will be Resolvathon Stretch Goals (special rewards if X% of New Year's markets are resolved)
Resolved
YES
It will happen on the 1st of January in some timezone
Resolved
YES
debate the resolution criteria of poorly-defined end of year markets (in an effort to resolve)
Resolved
YES
someone mentions (or wishes a happy new year to!) the haters and losers
Resolved
YES
someone other than @strutheo in twitch chat
Resolved
YES
50 or more markets resolved
Resolved
YES
the stream will be 3h30m+
Resolved
YES
60% of all New Year's markets are resolved

Save the date! Although you didn't have any plans for New Year's Day, did you?

We're (probably) doing a New Year's Resolution Special episode! Come and reminisce about the year of LK-99, Sam Altman, Taylor Swift, Manifest, Manifold Love, that damn AI letter, and whatever else the markets deemed important that happened this year. Rather than interview one guest, we'll see how many people we can get talking about 2023 on Manifold, have a resolution drive (there will be around 8000 newly closed markets 😬) and... what else??

Notes:

  • A 'special guest' is someone who we invite to speak who then speaks.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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There will be Resolvathon Stretch Goals (special rewards if X% of New Year's markets are resolved)

resolves yes, the 69% thing

at least 5 markets will resolve N/A

Not sure how many I resolved N/A myself - I can remember 3, but I also resolved several (7?) separate answers to a multichoice question to N/A. Does that count?

I've found 10 N/As in the NYR group.

@NcyRocks I think each market has to be posted separately, so I think that only counts for 4 N/A's by my count

someone mentions (or wishes a happy new year to!) the haters and losers

I think @Shump gave the hates and losers a shoutout earlier?

bought Ṁ500 of 60% of all New Year'... YES

@shankypanky I’ll resolve YES immediately if someone else confirms it or after the end of the stream if no one denies.

@shankypanky that wasn't me but someone did do that

@Shump couldn't remember - in my mind I was 50/50 between you and @duck_master

Starting now!

to clarify - "we" in the context of special guests means anyone other than @NcyRocks and @Joshua ?

@shankypanky Yep! Good catch

reposted

Looking forward to this! New Year's was reasonably eventful last year before mod resolution was a thing, so this one could be wild 😅

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