Who will be Manifold's 2024 Person of The Year?
206
5.1kṀ29k
resolved Jan 27
100%91%
Jimmy Carter
0.0%
Taylor Swift
0.6%
Joe Biden
2%
Donald Trump
0.0%
Isaac King
0.2%
Sam Altman
0.5%
Kamala Harris
0.0%
Satoshi Nakamoto
0.2%
AI
0.1%
rationalussy
0.0%
0.0%
Pro-Life (Marvin Thomas Richardson)
0.8%
Destiny
0.1%
Aella
0.0%
Eliezer Yudkowski
0.0%
CGP Grey
0.0%
Zvi Mowshowitz
0.0%
Robin Hanson
0.0%
Scott Alexander

This market will resolve to the winner of the poll "Who was Manifold's 2024 Person of the Year", that will be run by @itsTomekK on January 10-15th, 2025

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The top 15 names on December 31 from this market will be taken to the poll.

(unofficial)

  • Update 2025-19-01 (PST): - Resolution Date: The market will now resolve on January 26, 2025 instead of the previously stated date. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-19-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Date:

    • The market will now resolve on January 26, 2025 instead of the previously stated date.

  • Update 2025-26-01 (PST): - Resolution Update:

    • The market is resolved with Jimmy Carter as Manifold's 2024 Person of The Year. (AI summary of creator comment)

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