Is Manifold's P(Doom) by 2050 currently between 10% and 90%? [Resolves to Poll]
46
1kṀ11k
resolved Jun 11
Resolved
YES

This market will resolve based on the results of this poll:

The poll will close at noon PT on June 8th, which will be in the middle of Manifest.

This market resolves YES if more people answer "Yes" in the poll than the two "No" answers combined. Otherwise, this market resolves NO.

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@ManifoldAI resolves YES (64 vs 53)

@Ziddletwix @Joshua

bought Ṁ20 NO

Shouldn't be higher than 50% when "No" is currently leading

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