Will YOU live more than 1 billion years?
Mini
7
Ṁ150
2050
23%
Yes!
18%
No 😞
60%
Maybe?

Last week I asked whether I would live to reach the age of 1 billion. But now it's time to invert the question, and ask if YOU think that you'll live to see your billionth birthday. Same conditions as the other question apply.

Will resolve "Yes!" if any one of you manages to live a billion years, else it will resolve "No 😞". It will resolve to "Maybe?" if Manifold Markets ceases to exist between now and then.

For reference, here is my post regarding myself:

https://manifold.markets/Meta_C/will-i-live-to-be-more-than-1-billi?r=TWV0YV9D

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

I want to say “maybe” but that wouldn’t be Nice.