Will I live to be over 1000 years old? | Manifold Markets

1

Will I live to be over 1000 years old?

37

closes 9999

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will I live to celebrate my 1000th birthday?

"Life Insurance"

Sort by:

L Spambought Ṁ1 of YES

Make sure to put your Manifold login info in your will so someone can resolve this in case of No

Daniel Kilianis predicting YES at 18%

@LLLLLL Thanks! Will do.

How old are you now?

Daniel Kilianbought Ṁ10 of YES

@ian I'm 31 years, one month, one day old.

Ian Philipsbought Ṁ50 of NO

@DanielKilian does being uploaded count? Or do you have to exist in the flest?

Daniel Kilianis predicting YES at 18%

@ian I will live in a way where the general population at the time will always agree that I am the same person I've always been. Let me know if that is acceptable or if you need clarification.

Ian Philipsis predicting NO at 18%

@DanielKilian seems fairly clear, this would probably include uploading then if the rest of the population is doing it

Daniel Kilianbought Ṁ24 of YES

@ian I like to think I would still be in the flesh. As if there was a way to stop deterioration, or to even reverse aging to appear any age I wish. But of course, my desire may change.

Jack created limit order for Ṁ800 NO at 20%

Pat Myron sold Ṁ336 NO from 9% to 12%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ92/Ṁ100 NO at 9% (cancelled)

Pat Myron bought Ṁ333 NO from 13% to 10%

TesseractCat bought Ṁ10 YES at 13%

Aaron Lehmann sold Ṁ33 NO at 13%

Aaron Lehmann filled limit order Ṁ50/Ṁ50 NO at 13%

Nico D sold Ṁ71 NO from 12% to 13%

JuJumper sold Ṁ10 NO at 12%

Pickles Nathan sold Ṁ10 NO at 12%

Aaron Lehmann bought Ṁ35 NO at 12%

JuJumper bought Ṁ10 NO at 12%

Anıl Anar bought Ṁ10 NO at 12%

Max Payne bought Ṁ10 NO at 12%

Nico D bought Ṁ50 NO from 13% to 12%

kian_spire bought Ṁ10 NO at 13%

Pickles Nathan bought Ṁ10 NO at 13%

Nostradamnedus bought Ṁ10 NO from 14% to 13%

crot bought Ṁ10 NO at 14%

Gabrielle bought Ṁ10 NO at 14%

tailcalled bought Ṁ10 NO at 14%

Sophia Laird bought Ṁ10 NO at 14%

nfd bought Ṁ10 NO from 15% to 14%

Stephen Buggy bought Ṁ10 NO at 15%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ39/Ṁ100 NO at 15% (cancelled)

Nico D bought Ṁ20 NO from 17% to 16%

Radicalia bought Ṁ10 NO at 17%

sam bought Ṁ10 NO at 17%

S G bought Ṁ10 NO from 18% to 17%

David Mathers bought Ṁ10 NO at 18%

David Mathers bought Ṁ45 NO from 21% to 18%

Conifer Ccw bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

Nihal M bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

Bolton Bailey bought Ṁ10 NO from 23% to 22%

Logan Zoellner bought Ṁ10 NO at 23%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ10 NO at 23%

TheWiggleMan sold Ṁ30 NO from 20% to 23%

TheWiggleMan bought Ṁ30 NO from 23% to 20%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ10 NO from 24% to 23%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 YES at 24% (cancelled)

error404 bought Ṁ75 NO from 32% to 22%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ3/Ṁ3 NO at 32%

Daniel Kilian bought Ṁ10 YES from 29% to 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 29% (cancelled)

Daniel Kilian bought Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 30%

Malte bought Ṁ20 NO from 30% to 27%

Malte created limit order for Ṁ200 NO at 33%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ6/Ṁ100 NO at 30% (cancelled)

Daniel Kilian bought Ṁ30 YES from 19% to 31%

Daniel Kilian bought Ṁ5 NO at 19%

Related markets

Will I live to be 100 years old?24%

Will I live to be 200 years old?17%

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?19%

Will I live to be 150 years old?21%

Will I live to be 150 years old?29%

Will I live to be 125 years old?24%

Will I live forever?8%

Will I be old before I die?72%

How old will I be when I die?85

How old will I be when I die?92

Will I successfully get to a streak of 100?80%

Will I break a bone by end of 2025?10%

Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?56%

Will I 100% ToTK by the end of this year?29%

Will I weight more than 200 pounds in 2 years?41%

Will I weigh at least 69kg in 2023?53%

Will I make it to 200-day prediction streak?87%

Vincent Luczkow

Will I reach 200 birds on my life list this year?35%

Will I run at least 500 hours in 2023?47%

Will I still have all my limbs by the end of June?98%

Related markets

Will I live to be 100 years old?24%

Will I live to be 200 years old?17%

Will I live to be at least 200 years old?19%

Will I live to be 150 years old?21%

Will I live to be 150 years old?29%

Will I live to be 125 years old?24%

Will I live forever?8%

Will I be old before I die?72%

How old will I be when I die?85

How old will I be when I die?92

Will I successfully get to a streak of 100?80%

Will I break a bone by end of 2025?10%

Will I successfully complete an Ironman triathlon before 2027?56%

Will I 100% ToTK by the end of this year?29%

Will I weight more than 200 pounds in 2 years?41%

Will I weigh at least 69kg in 2023?53%

Will I make it to 200-day prediction streak?87%

Vincent Luczkow

Will I reach 200 birds on my life list this year?35%

Will I run at least 500 hours in 2023?47%

Will I still have all my limbs by the end of June?98%