Jun 15, 9:47pm: For clarity, this will resolve several weeks into the new year, just in case
Related markets:
Aug 12, 10:21pm:
Aug 12, 10:22pm:
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I assume you are not counting the Trump Organization? https://www.cnbc.com/2022/12/06/trump-organization-convicted-in-new-york-criminal-tax-fraud-case.html

How did you set the Olivia group to be permanent? @LivInTheLookingGlass


@LivInTheLookingGlass I haven't seen that anywhere else on the site. My markets are regularly edited by others and on a couple occasions I changed someone else's market to remove it from a group I created. Never have I seen a single group label I couldn't delete, let alone four!! đ¤Ł

https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/18/politics/justice-department-trump-special-counsel/index.html "DOJ announces special counsel for Trump-related Mar-a-Lago and January 6 criminal investigations"

A couple more related markets about his recent subpoena by the Jan 6 committee:


Note for posterity and clarification: Tish James' recently filed lawsuit against Trump and his company is not an indictment. It's a civil case.

Even Judge Cannonâs order instructed the special master to prioritize review of the confidential documents so Dearie probably could get that part out of the way in a day max. I think he will argue he shouldnât see the documents as a matter of judicial principle. I donât foresee Dearie just abiding by an order so unfair to the government.

Trump just arrived in DC tonight in what looks like an unplanned visit. He flew in his golf clothes and golf shoes, straight off the golf course. No one knows of any event he has planned in DC. Is this a medical flight, and if so, why not either go to a local hospital or fly by helicopter to Walter Reed? Or might he be about to be indicted in DC, which would also coincidentally render moot the decision to give him a Special Master? Also, some knowledgeable people previously estimated that he would probably be indicted by mid-Sept. Might it be about to happen?


@aps How much mana do I have to send you to skip the indictment and go straight to the smiting?!?



Trump's supporters (and some opponents) are fond of saying that if he is indicted, it will only make him stronger. Are they right?
https://manifold.markets/MattP/conditional-on-donald-trump-being-i

@MattP You should embed the market instead of linking to it IMO. Great new feature.

@LivInTheLookingGlass You're right. Should just hide the chart on mobile maybe.






















