Resolves the same as https://manifold.markets/LivInTheLookingGlass/will-donald-trump-be-indicted-for-a except ending in 2023
Jul 27, 2:35am: to clarify, including in 2022
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Will Trump face indictment,
For crimes he may have committed?
By the end of 2023,
His fate will be permitted.
Since there are multiple possible indictments, I've created a market to see if he will be indicted multiple times.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/09/nyregion/trump-potential-criminal-charges-bragg.html
The Manhattan district attorney’s office recently signaled to Donald J. Trump’s lawyers that he could face criminal charges for his role in the payment of hush money to a porn star, the strongest indication yet that prosecutors are nearing an indictment of the former president, according to four people with knowledge of the matter.
The prosecutors offered Mr. Trump the chance to testify next week before the grand jury that has been hearing evidence in the potential case, the people said. Such offers almost always indicate an indictment is close; it would be unusual for the district attorney, Alvin L. Bragg, to notify a potential defendant without ultimately seeking charges against him.
Made longer and shorter time frame markets for those who think it will happen but disagree over when.
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/18/politics/justice-department-trump-special-counsel/index.html "DOJ announces special counsel for Trump-related Mar-a-Lago and January 6 criminal investigations"
Note for posterity and clarification: Tish James' recently filed lawsuit against Trump and his company is not an indictment. It's a civil case.
@MattP His company is under criminal indictment currently though, you know for posterity and such.
@PatrickFitzgerald1bc8 For sure, but that was 5 months ago. I think you should check out Fulton County. "Imminent" is I believe how the announcement is described by the DA.
They’re highlighting what they “hoped” to find which is a hint they didn’t find anything.
(Leaving aside these clowns had Epstein’s attorney, who also gave Epstein a sweetheart deal then went to work for him, and who isn’t even an Article III judge, grant the warrant.)
Garland and the two AGs aren’t exactly the sharpest tools in the shed, looking less and less likely. Continued missteps and/or evidence the whole thing is for personal/agency/msnbc-viewer eyeballs rather than a serious path to indictment.
@Gigacasting Sometimes I think you might be Roger Stone. That’s a compliment.
Trump's supporters (and some opponents) are fond of saying that if he is indicted, it will only make him stronger. Are they right?
https://manifold.markets/MattP/conditional-on-donald-trump-being-i
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