Conditional on Trump being indicted for any crime in any jurisdiction, what crime is he indicted for first?
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10
Ṁ4041resolved Apr 8
100%98.7%
Stormy Daniels hush money payments
0.4%Other
0.6%
Maralago documents
0.2%
Crimes referred by the January 6th commission
0.1%
Georgia election fraud phone call
0.0%
China indicts Trump under Chinese law
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@DavidChee Thank you, and sorry again for the long absence. I've had to cut back on a lot of hobby stuff lately, and I appreciate the patience
@Lorxus I'm not able to resolve markets that are still open unfortunately. That would be a job for @DavidChee.
@DavidChee https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_criminal_investigation_of_The_Trump_Organization out of all the things Trump could have been indicted about, the NYC Stormy Daniels case was the first one to actually result in indictment.
@LivInTheLookingGlass One vaguely-plausible scenario: Trump wins in 2024; tensions rise between US and China; a US court sentences some Chinese high officials for (whatever); China sentences Trump in retaliation.
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