Conditional on Trump being indicted for any crime in any jurisdiction, what crime is he indicted for first?
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Ṁ4Kresolved Apr 8
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0.6%
Maralago documents
0.2%
Crimes referred by the January 6th commission
0.1%
Georgia election fraud phone call
0.0%
China indicts Trump under Chinese law
98.7%
Stormy Daniels hush money payments
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@DavidChee Thank you, and sorry again for the long absence. I've had to cut back on a lot of hobby stuff lately, and I appreciate the patience
@Lorxus I'm not able to resolve markets that are still open unfortunately. That would be a job for @DavidChee.
@DavidChee https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_criminal_investigation_of_The_Trump_Organization out of all the things Trump could have been indicted about, the NYC Stormy Daniels case was the first one to actually result in indictment.
answered
China indicts Trump under Chinese law
@LivInTheLookingGlass One vaguely-plausible scenario: Trump wins in 2024; tensions rise between US and China; a US court sentences some Chinese high officials for (whatever); China sentences Trump in retaliation.
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