
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
38
1kαΉ46312031
5%
John Roberts
40%
Clarence Thomas
36%
Samuel Alito
9%
Sonia Sotomayor
1.3%
Elena Kagan
2%
Neil Gorsuch
3%
Brett Kavanaugh
1.2%
Amy Coney Barrett
1.3%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
0%
A Justice not yet seated
If it's multiple justices simultaneously, this market will resolve to an per-person split of all correct answers (eg: if there were 11 Justices and all 11 left, it would resolve with each current member AND 2 shares on A Justice not yet seated
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
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Will Amy Coney Barrett leave next?
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Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
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@mods I am incapable of buying any YES on any of the 0% options. I keep getting this screen (seen below), but only when I tap YES. I do not get this screen when I tap NO on those options. I think this is a bug.


bought αΉ1 YES
Amy Coney Barrett is YES-able now. The remaining 2 are still bugged.
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Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
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