Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Basic
22
797
2026
40%
Clarence Thomas
5%
John Roberts
7%
Samuel Alito
39%
Sonia Sotomayor
4%
Elena Kagan
1.3%
Niel Gorsuch
1.3%
Brett Kavanaugh
1.2%
Amy Coney Barrett
1.1%
Ketanji Brown Jackson

Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.

The justices are listed here in order of seniority. I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.

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How does this resolve in the case that it's a justice not listed? (e.g., the court is expanded, a new justice is seated, and then quickly gets impeached and removed.)

@AndrewG It will resolve based on the first of the listed justices to leave the bench. That's why I worded the description as, "Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court," to exclude any new justices who are added.