Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next? | Manifold

Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?

Plus

21

Ṁ4454

2030

8%

John Roberts

34%

Clarence Thomas

37%

Samuel Alito

8%

Sonia Sotomayor

2%

Elena Kagan

4%

Neil Gorsuch

4%

Brett Kavanaugh

1.6%

Amy Coney Barrett

1.5%

Ketanji Brown Jackson

Resolves when any Supreme Court Justice retires or dies while serving.

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How is the resolution affected in the following edge cases?

I. Justice impeached or otherwise removed by means not including retirement/death.

II. Expansion of the court to include new justices

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