
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
27
1kṀ62082030
5%
John Roberts
46%
Clarence Thomas
31%
Samuel Alito
12%
Sonia Sotomayor
0.9%
Elena Kagan
1.7%
Neil Gorsuch
3%
Brett Kavanaugh
0.6%
Amy Coney Barrett
0.6%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Resolves when any Supreme Court Justice retires or dies while serving.
Update 2025-22-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Any Justice leaving the Court will resolve this as YES.
Expanding the size of the Court has no impact on a Justice leaving it.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
42% chance
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
80% chance
Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?
Who will be the next person appointed to the Supreme Court of the United States?