Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
59
1.3kṀ61532030
46%
Clarence Thomas
12%
Sonya Sotomayor
0.7%
Amy Coney Barrett
1%
Elena Kagan
2%
Brett Kavanaugh
5%
John Roberts
30%
Samuel Alito
1.9%
Neil Gorsuch
0.4%
Ketanji Brown Jackson
Resolves based on which seat is first to become open due to the resignation or death of a current justice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Sotomayor leave next?
12% chance
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
42% chance
What will cause the next Supreme Court vacancy?
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
80% chance
When will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
93% chance
Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
Will a 10th Judge be Appointed to the US Supreme Court by 2026?
3% chance
Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
34% chance