Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
15
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k2029
23%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if at least one of Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, or Ketanji Brown Jackson leaves the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term, and resolves NO otherwise.
"Trump's presidential term" means the current term, lasting until January 20, 2029, even if Trump leaves and Vance takes over.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
84% chance
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
80% chance
Will a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
35% chance
How many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
47% chance
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
Will a Supreme Court Justice retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
36% chance
Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?
How many justices will Trump appoint to SCOTUS?
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
32% chance