
Dr P bought M$10 of YES7 days ago
Pampu.

Dr P bought M$20 of YES7 days ago
Pamp it.
selling to use the money elsewhere
a few somewhat related metaculus markets:
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8885/conflict-between-prc--roc-taiwan-by-2023/
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7792/100-deaths-from-taiwan-conflict-before-2026/
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-most-of-taiwan-by-2050/
50% feels distressingly high! If true, I need to convince my Taiwanese relatives to come join us in the US...