
If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?
24
1kṀ7402031
20%
Lawsuits & civil disputes
29%
Legislation/treaties
2%
Economic crash
12%
War
0.1%
Sabotage
37%
Natural limits / diminishing returns
0.1%
Something else
Multiple choice. Assuming an AI winter happens before resolution, which of these scenarios is most likely to bring it about?
Resolves N/A if an AI winter doesn't happen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI winter happen by 2030?
25% chance
Will there be an AI Winter by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
34% chance
Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2025?
7% chance
If the progress of AI experiences a slowdown before 2030, what might be the cause?
Are we about to hit another AI winter in 2026?
13% chance
Will there be an AI Winter between 2022 and 2026?
15% chance
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2030?
67% chance
Will one of these AI researchers claim we're in an AI winter before 2026?
8% chance
Will humans deliberately cause an AI winter?
18% chance