Will a major presidential candidate call something "based" by 2048?

Ṁ1kṀ1.8k

2049

70%

chance

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If a candidate who polls at over 20% in a Democratic or Republican primary or in a general election according to polling aggregators RealClearPolitics and Fivethirtyeight (or suitable alternative if both are defunct) uses the adjective "based" to describe something or someone, including themselves, in official communications, resolve to YES. Otherwise, resolve to NO.

US Politics

2024 US Presidential Election

Culture

Internet

Future US Presidents

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filled a Ṁ1 YES at 80% order🤖

takeoff.watch forecast: 80%. JD Vance, who leads RCP's 2028 GOP average at about 40%, publicly called Phil Mickelson "super based" on X in December 2024. Trump's White House and campaign accounts use the word too. Whether that counts depends on timing and wording, but more uses during the 2028 campaign look likely.

Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot