Will Max Verstappen win the 2023 Formula 1 Driver Championship at the Japanese Grand Prix (Suzuka)?
82
567
1.6K
resolved Sep 17
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if he is not the champion before the weekend but scores enough points (or other drivers fail to score) where it becomes impossible for anyone else to catch him.

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predicted NO

Can someone share a link to someone reporting this

@KevinBurke

It is possible still. If I am wrong, maybe @parhizj could help with some math.

Max has to win 1 race and he clinches, if he wins than that is 399 points, with fastest lap than 400 points. With 6 races remaining after Suzuka.

If Max has no more points for the rest of the season & Perez wins the final 7 races plus 3 fastest laps, that is 401 points

So technically every race from Suzuka to Abu Dhabi it is up to Max winning to clinch.

https://racingnews365.com/f1-2023-championship-standings-after-singapore-grand-prix

bought Ṁ500 of YES

If my math is wrong, someone correct me. I dont mind losing the 1K mana i just put in.

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind That’s from 2022

bought Ṁ500 of YES

@KevinBurke Yea I realized that and edited the second comment. First comment still stands based on F1 website standings and doing math.

Someone can prove me wrong, but it still seems possible.

bought Ṁ715 of NO

@SirCryptomind @KevinBurke These are alot of numbers. Winning every race + fastest lap + winning the 3 remaining sprints would get you 180 points in the 6 remaining races. This means there must be a 181 point margin after suzuka to clinch. The current gap is 151. A win for max and DNF for sergie would make that margin 151 + 26 = 177, therefore even in this scenario, max cannot win the championship in suzuka

bought Ṁ85 of NO

@ryfuzzi please resolve this N now @KevinBurke, too bad i dont have more money to counter buy sir cryptotard

predicted YES

@ryfuzzi well welcome to being blocked. No need for calling of names.

And this shouldn't resolve until we know the results of Suzuka.

bought Ṁ864 of NO
predicted YES

This should not resolve until after the Japanese GP results are known.

bought Ṁ430 of NO

@SirCryptomind This market is about mathematical possibilities/impossibilities. It is officially impossible to clinch the championship at the japanese grand prix, therefore this should resolve N now.

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind you forgot about sprint races and thats an honest mistake, time to resolve the market.

predicted YES

@ryfuzzi pretty sure if everyone with a chance of catching Max were to Score 0 points next week and Max wins with or without fastest lap, he clinches.

If I'm wrong, show me a chart with the math.

There is also a very unlikely scenario where we get locked down due to pandemic after the Japanes Grand Prix and the rest of season canceled and Max is champ.

Also, no need to resolve early. Makes sense to keep open until after the race.

Sorry that I can throw 1k Mana at this and not care.

predicted NO

@SirCryptomind

current gap 151
gap needed 180
maximum margin next week - Max +26

151 + 26 = 177
177 < 180

still possible to win championship after suzuka

predicted YES

@ryfuzzi

Beyonce shoulda won

Kanye West Shrug GIF
bought Ṁ13,500 of NO

@ryfuzzi Ok this convinced me

sold Ṁ307 of YES

@KevinBurke Agree. I didn't mind taking the L if I was wrong with my quick math.

The one last way I think is a very ugly way and that would be Max wins and Perez dies in the same race it seems factoring in the points I forgot about.

bought Ṁ260 of NO

Pls resolve

bought Ṁ62 of NO

@KevinBurke this is now mathematically impossible to happen, please resolve

predicted YES

@ryfuzzi What math do you have to present to back up your claim of "impossible"?

I don't mind being wrong, but I believe it is possible based on the math I presented.