Before 2030, will a NATO soldier publish a memoir claiming they were secretly on Ukrainian soil in 2022 or 2023?
14
1kṀ3722029
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
'NATO soldier' = member of the armed forces of a NATO member state (please note this includes navy, marines and air force personnel, i was just trying to be succinct in the question)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine join NATO before the end of 2031?
33% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
23% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
21% chance
German troops deployed in Ukraine in 2025?
38% chance
[Metaculus] Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?
24% chance
Will European Troops Enter Combat in Ukraine Before 2026?
13% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
29% chance
Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026?
2% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO before end of 2030?
28% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
35% chance