Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will Trump announce as his new AI Czar?
175
Ṁ7.8kṀ77k
resolved Oct 4
100%73%
Jay Clayton
1.8%
No one by end of 2026
1.1%
David Sacks
0.1%
Mark Zuckerberg
0.1%
Donald Trump
0.2%
Elon Musk
0.9%
Michael Kratsios
0.3%
Sriram Krishnan
0.1%
Eliezer Yudkowsky
0.2%
Marc Andreessen
0.3%
Jensen Huang
0.2%
Marco Rubio
0.2%
J.D. Vance
7%
Emil Michael
0.0%
Leopold Aschenbrenner
0.0%
Rudy Giuliani
0.0%
Dean Ball
0.0%
Sam Altman
0.0%
Dario Amodei
0.2%
Peter Thiel

Resolves upon announcement by Trump or his Admin, resolution does not require they actually begin work on the job. If Trump announces multiple individuals to co-lead the role, the market will resolve proportionally among those named. If no official announcement is made by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No one by end of 2026". The primary sources of truth will be official White House statements, Donald Trump's verified Truth Social posts, or consensus reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg, The New York Times).

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ932
2Ṁ726
3Ṁ291
4Ṁ249
5Ṁ208
Sort by:

Who the Hell is Jay Clayton?

@ChurlishGambit Director of National Intelligence, apparently

sold Ṁ3 YES
sold Ṁ154 YES

@MachiNi Trump’s post is actually very confusing.

@MachiNi I'll take it

an impressively illegible tweet though

@Joshua

If Trump announces multiple individuals to co-lead the role, the market will resolve proportionally among those named

shouldn't the resolution therefore also be split with Emil Michael, Scott Kupor, and other, not just 100% Jay Clayton?

@Joshua do we know why the news headlines are saying it's him alone when the Truth post and linked article body say it's several people? I have no mana to gain here btw, just want to understand

sold Ṁ0 YES

@spiderduckpig what did bro see

@bobalobascrob other than the news which came out like 8 hours ago

bought Ṁ1 YES

Not sure wgy Ssm Altman is so low he seems the type to do exactly that

bought Ṁ2 YES

Tempted to add something like "a chatgpt instance prompted to roleplay as Czar Nicholas II"

bought Ṁ100 YES

David Sacks undervalued @3% IMHO

@Bandors isn't he the old Czar?

The Czar is dead, long live the Czar?

@Joshua let a man hope.