If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
Plus
11
Ṁ1632026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump wins the US 2024 election, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows US AI progress before the 2026 midterms?
This market resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 election.
Biden market: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/if-biden-wins-will-the-us-governmen
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Trump is elected, will there be an executive order or legislation focused on AI before the 2026 midterms?
85% chance
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
30% chance
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
42% chance
Will the next U.S. President sign an Executive Order related to AI within their First 100 Days?
93% chance
Will the US government enact legislation before 2026 that substantially slows US AI progress?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump directly endorse some form of AI regulation in a public statement between now and inauguration day?
7% chance
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
25% chance
Will Trump's first year of presidency be positive for AI safety?
24% chance