When season 10 locks in, everyone in the top 5 will resolve to 20%. This is a linked market, because I think those are more fun. You can submit more names, which will split off from other.

You can find the version for Diamond here: /Joshua/who-will-be-the-top-5-in-manifold-d

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Gaming

#Manifold Leagues

#Unranked

Get

1,000

and

3.00

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,184
2		Ṁ336
3		Ṁ282
4		Ṁ245
5		Ṁ145

25 Comments

29 Holders

495 Trades

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GGWP! Two new markets for Season 11, both resolve to one option:

Season 11 market!

Higher market creation cost means more liquidity!

@Joshua when you say this will resolve to 20% for the top 5, what does that mean for payouts to traders?

Does that mean I’d receive a fifth of the payout I see listed next to what I spent on a user (assuming my position is correct)?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@snazzlePop I believe that's correct, yeah. So you don't want to buy anyone over 20% because you're spending full price but you only get 20% of the payout if it resolves yes.

BayesianboughtṀ5 YES

@Bayesian seriously, why?

@Lion You’re literally among the best bettors?! #2 right now!

@Bayesian yeah, but it's February 5th and the month has 29 days

@Lion 25% chance that you get to top 5 is a steal trust

wait but if you buy yourself down too much you can manipulate it by not coming top 5 on purpose that's no good

@Bayesian No, because @Joshua is boring and unranked this question. I've thought about it

@Lion oh i didn't mean league profit manipulation, just like you might stop competing when you're safely in 6th place so you dont' lose 1000 mana here