Is Donald Trump more likely to win the presidential election if the US enters a recession by the end of 2024?
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This market resolves Yes if these two markets resolve in the same direction:
/LarsDoucet/will-donald-trump-win-the-2024-us-p
/chrisjbillington/will-the-us-enter-a-recession-by-20
It resolves "No" if they resolve in opposite directions. In the case of unforeseen strangeness with the specific markets linked, I will resolve based on my own best judgement of if these two things happened or did not happen.
As of market creation, the Trump market is at 40% and the recession market is at 46%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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