US Recession before 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

If there's a recession before election day 2024, will a Democrat win the presidential election?

Was the US already in a recession in July 2024?

Is Donald Trump more likely to win the presidential election if the US enters a recession by the end of 2024?

Did the US enter a recession before the end of 2024?

Will the US economy have a recession [two quarters of negative GDP growth] in 2024?

Will US avoid a recession in 2024?

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Which party will win the Presidency? Will there be a US recession between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive)?

US officially enter a recession in 2024? (NBER)