
What percentage of Manifolders will claim to be from the future?
5
300Ṁ121resolved Oct 9
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%34%
0 - 2%
35%
2% - 5%
22%
5% - 10%
10%
10% - 100%
On my survey, I will ask what year respondents were born in. How many will claim to be born in the future?
See Plasma's Manifold Survey for other questions about the survey.
The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ46 | |
2 | Ṁ23 | |
3 | Ṁ2 |
Sort by:
Surprisingly enough, not a single person claimed to be born in the future. The latest year was 2008.
https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-1-rationalists
People are also trading
Related questions
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
68% chance
At the beginning of 2029, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
77% chance
Which manifolders will still be active in 2028? (add answers!)
What percentage of Manifold users will consider themselves "woke" on Nov 1, 2024?
14% chance
At the beginning of 2040, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
69% chance
At the beginning of 2035, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
68% chance
At the beginning of 2030, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
73% chance
At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
71% chance
Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?