Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?
6
625Ṁ569
2029
14%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/krantz-mechanism-demonstration?r=S3JhbnR6
10%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-proposition-will-be-denied?r=S3JhbnR6
8%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-are-you-aligned-with?r=S3JhbnR6
7%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-will-i-believe-is-the-most-imp?r=S3JhbnR6
6%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-will-be-voted-the-most-import?r=S3JhbnR6
5%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-eliezer-charitably-reviewed-my-w?r=S3JhbnR6
5%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-is-the-most-valuable-propositi?r=S3JhbnR6
5%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-source-of-truth-will-be-unive?r=S3JhbnR6
4%
Other
4%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/is-establishing-a-truth-economy-tha?r=S3JhbnR6
4%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-a-friendly-ai-takes-control-of-h?r=S3JhbnR6
4%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-a-machine-is-only-capable-of-ask?r=S3JhbnR6
4%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-is-the-most-important-question?r=S3JhbnR6
4%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-person-had-the-most-important?r=S3JhbnR6
4%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-topicsissueevent-should-the-ge?r=S3JhbnR6
3%
https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence?r=S3JhbnR6
2%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/guessing-game-what-propositions-doe?r=S3JhbnR6
1.8%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-will-be-time-magazines-person-o?r=S3JhbnR6
1.7%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-aella-and-i-go-on-a-proper-date?r=S3JhbnR6
1.5%
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-krantz-hires-danny-sheehan-as-hi?r=S3JhbnR6

Resolved by a poll "What is the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold?" taken in 2030.

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