Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030? | Manifold

Which will be voted the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold in 2030?

6

650Ṁ650

2029

10%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/krantz-mechanism-demonstration?r=S3JhbnR6

9%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-proposition-will-be-denied?r=S3JhbnR6

9%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-will-be-voted-the-most-import?r=S3JhbnR6

6%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-are-you-aligned-with?r=S3JhbnR6

6%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-will-i-believe-is-the-most-imp?r=S3JhbnR6

5%

Other

5%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-eliezer-charitably-reviewed-my-w?r=S3JhbnR6

5%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-person-had-the-most-important?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-proper-date-will-be-the-most?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-is-the-most-valuable-propositi?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/is-establishing-a-truth-economy-tha?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/which-source-of-truth-will-be-unive?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-a-friendly-ai-takes-control-of-h?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-a-machine-is-only-capable-of-ask?r=S3JhbnR6

4%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-is-the-most-important-question?r=S3JhbnR6

3%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/what-topicsissueevent-should-the-ge?r=S3JhbnR6

3%

https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence?r=S3JhbnR6

2%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/guessing-game-what-propositions-doe?r=S3JhbnR6

1.7%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/who-will-be-time-magazines-person-o?r=S3JhbnR6

1.6%

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-krantz-goes-on-a-proper-date-wit?r=S3JhbnR6

Resolved by a poll "What is the most important prediction ever listed on Manifold?" taken in 2030.

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