In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?
Plus
13
Ṁ10182041
32%
2024-2026
34%
2027-2028
20%
2029-2030
14%
After 2030 / never
The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches. Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.
All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.
This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.
2023:
2 Starship launches
96 Falcon launches
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
How many Starship launches will there be between now (post IFT2) and the end of 2024?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
29% chance
How often will Starship have launched by the time of Falcon 9's retirement?
321
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
73% chance
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
76% chance
In what year will SpaceX first launch Starship more times than Falcon 9?