In what year will the number of Starship launches exceed the number of Falcon launches?

Plus

13

Ṁ10182041

32%

2024-2026

34%

2027-2028

20%

2029-2030

14%

After 2030 / never

The number of Starship family rocket launches must exceed the number of Falcon family launches. Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy, and any future variations of Falcon are included; Starship cargo, tanker, test, crew, HLS, depot, and any future variations are included.

All option brackets are inclusive; the total number of Starship family launches in the selected year must be greater than (not equal to) Falcon family launches.

This will close on the first day of the next year after the condition is met.

2023:

2 Starship launches

96 Falcon launches

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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