How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
34
625แน€5734
resolved Dec 30
Resolved
YES
4 or more
Resolved
YES
5 or more
Resolved
YES
2 or more
Resolved
YES
3 or more
Resolved
NO
6 or more
Resolved
NO
7 or more
Resolved
NO
8 or more
Resolved
NO
9 or more
Resolved
NO
10 or more
Resolved
NO
15 or more
Resolved
NO
20 or more

All markets that are true will resolve YES as they occur. I can add additional markets if most of the markets are resolved with much of the year left.

For 2024 see https://manifold.markets/wilsonkime/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-w-01827009d557

Market context
SpaceX
Rockets
Starship Launch Party
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Booster and ships haven't had cryotests, engines fitted, static fire, ship quick disconnect not completed, 5 done I think 6+ can resolve no.

@ChristopherRandles yeah I feel comfortable resolving them.

@wilsonkime 2 or more can resolve.

bought แน€23 YES

@wilsonkime 3 or more can resolve.

@wilsonkime

bought แน€10 YES

File under "betting against Elon"

Adding more options since 5 or more is already at 76%

opened a แน€100 YES at 60% order

@wilsonkime ...keep adding lol

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