
Will SpaceX conduct >100 Starship launches in 2025?
7
100แน2935resolved Dec 30
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Reflying the same ship or booster counts as another launch. Doesn't have to be a successful launch so long as the stack achieves liftoff.
Does not include Falcon 9 or Heavy launches, just Starship.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน250 | |
| 2 | แน20 | |
| 3 | แน17 | |
| 4 | แน4 | |
| 5 | แน2 |
Sort by:
Alright I made this market off the cuff but it's looking pretty unlikely. SpaceX just got approval for 25 launches next year:
I'll keep the market open until year end to see how things go.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
1% chance
How many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Will Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
64% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
8% chance