Will SpaceX conduct >100 Starship launches in 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ26402026
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Reflying the same ship or booster counts as another launch. Doesn't have to be a successful launch so long as the stack achieves liftoff.
Does not include Falcon 9 or Heavy launches, just Starship.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Alright I made this market off the cuff but it's looking pretty unlikely. SpaceX just got approval for 25 launches next year:
I'll keep the market open until year end to see how things go.
Related questions
Related questions
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
74% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
76% chance
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
19% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
25% chance
Will there be a SpaceX Starship launch in the second quarter of 2025?
94% chance
SpaceX conducts at least one Starship launch every month in 2025
35% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
72% chance
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 150 Successful Launches In 2025?
71% chance