Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
7
22
Ṁ176Ṁ240
2026
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For the purposes of this market orbit will be defined as starship completely circling the earth. Therefore if starship is deorbited off the coast of Hawaii prior to making it all the way around the Earth that launch will not count. This market resolve as true if starship launches seven separate times and makes it to full orbit before Jan 1, 2026.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024? (Everyday Astronaut 2024 Predictions)
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2027?
85% chance
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2025?
3% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
25% chance
Will two Starships dock together in orbit before 2026?
71% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
74% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 6 times before the end of 2025?
83% chance
Conditional on Starship reaching orbit in 2023, will it be sent to Mars before 2028?
53% chance
Will Starship launch at least [X] times before it launches with humans? [independent]
How many Starship launches will there be between now and the end of 2024?