Will Starship launch to orbit at least 8 times before the end of 2025?
Mini
7
176
2026
72%
chance

For the purposes of this market orbit will be defined as starship completely circling the earth. Therefore if starship is deorbited off the coast of Hawaii prior to making it all the way around the Earth that launch will not count. This market resolve as true if starship launches seven separate times and makes it to full orbit before Jan 1, 2026.

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Just to be clear our count is still at zero because there haven't been any full orbits or any full orbit attempts yet. But there's still plenty of time.

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