Will Scott Alexander state that Vitor has paid him for winning their AI image bet this year?
5
100Ṁ112
2026
71%
chance

Scott Alexander won his $100 bet about AI image generation, detailed in the article below:

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/now-i-really-won-that-ai-bet

Will Scott state that he has been paid $100 by Vitor before 2026? Alternately, if Scott states that Vitor pays the money to a mutually agreed upon third party (e.g. a charity) this also counts.

The acknowledgment could be anywhere public, on the blog, on Twitter, on a podcast, a Manifold comment, etc.

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