Will an AI ballot measure in any state be endorsed in a Scott Alexander post by the 2026 elections?
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Resolves Yes if there is a statewide ballot measure about AI that is endorsed by Scott Alexander in a blog post. Resolves the day before the 2026 midterm elections.
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Market was ~62% when I bet; I have it ~4%. It was meant to resolve the day before the election, and Scott's "My California Ballot 2026" post covers all 15 state propositions with none of them about AI (the AI initiatives filed last December never qualified). I don't know of any AI measure on another state's ballot that he endorsed. https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/my-california-ballot-2026
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