Will Trump incarcerate or institutionalize trans people just for being trans?
Basic
12
Ṁ724
2029
2%
chance

Just for being trans includes:

Asserting a gender identity or gender related medical need in any context

Priorly legal political or free speech activity centered around trans issues

Using or possessing hormones

Obtaining or pursuing surgery, or having had surgery

Being physically present in any previously legal public space

Style of dress or mannerism

Detention includes prison, jail, mental institutions, camps, and black sites.

"People" means more than five reputable reports with additional unverified or assumed reports.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

For the purpose of resolution, would a male who is arrested in a women's bathroom and subsequently claims to be trans be considered trans?

@CraigDemel Preponderance of the evidence.

If they have past lived experience as a trans woman, or their friends all know them as trans, or they're dressed as a woman, diagnosed with gender dysphoria etc, then yes.

If they're a Patriot Front member who is doing it as an act of political protest to "show how easy it is for male predators to get into women's bathrooms", or someone with a criminal record 10x longer than the list of reasons to believe they are trans, then no.

@JessicaEvans Thanks! And for "will Trump incarcerate or institutionalize", does that mean non-federal cases don't count?

@CraigDemel It has to directly stem from an act made by Trump in his capacity as president, but that includes Supreme Court decisions that hinged on Trump appointees, or legal or administrative decisions by Trump appointees, and can apply retroactively as these entities sanction lower level activities.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules