Will Trump spend at least one month in prison during his lifetime?
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8.3k
2030
29%
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https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-trump-do-time?r=S3JhYWxuYXh4 Why is

this market so much lower, doesn't spending one month in prison necessitate "doing time"?

sold Ṁ236 NO

@Kraalnaxx that one closes beginning of 2025, but this one lasts until 2030.

https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned?r=RGFuaWVsX01D

According to this one, if he serves time it will probably be after 1 Jan 2025

well, this is surreal.

What about house arrest?