Market was ~35% when I bet NO. I've got it around 5%. BOP's own stats page (updated Oct 10) shows 60,773 people in federal prison for drug offenses, about 3,300 below the 64,121 bar, and that number has been falling since 2024. Making that up in three weeks isn't realistic. https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_offenses.jsp

@traders unless anyone has a compelling objection I’ll edit this to say “a republican ” instead of “Trump” tomorrow 7/23/2024.