If Trump becomes president, will more people be imprisoned for drug offenses?
2
13
Ṁ18Ṁ160
2026
46%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of 20 April, 2024, 64,121 people are in US federal prisons for drug offenses.
Resolves based on https://www.bop.gov/about/statistics/statistics_inmate_offenses.jsp
Market closes just before the 2026 midterms.
This market resolves NA if Trump doesn’t win.
Related:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will Trump spend any time in jail by the end of 2024?
26% chance
Will Trump be handcuffed?
18% chance
Will Trump be locked up before his lockup expires?
27% chance
Will Trump be convicted?
80% chance
Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies?
53% chance
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
45% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
16% chance
If Trump is convicted in any federal case, will the next president pardon him or commute his sentence?
37% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
75% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected president after having been convicted of at least one Federal charge?
15% chance