If any state continues to perform gender affirming surgeries for transgender prisoners through 2025, the person who is elected president resolves YES. They also resolve YES if they sign legislation that expands such care nationally, even if the surgeries aren't performed in 2025. If neither happens, they resolve NO.

Here's an article about how this is already happening in California due to 8th Amendment constitutional rights.

Thresholds:

• 10+ surgeries performed in 2025, across all states

• At least one state still has a policy of doing so at end 2025, and such a policy isn't in violation of federal mandate

The non-elected candidate will resolve to MKT on inauguration day, pending my availability.

Hot tip: this is really a question about whether Nothing Ever Happens.