Which UK political figures will defect to Reform UK before the next election?
3
1kṀ730
2029
61%
At least five MPs elected as Conservatives in 2024
39%
At least one MP elected as Labour in 2024
36%
Suella Braverman
36%
Jacob Rees-Mogg
31%
Liz Truss
24%
Katie Lam
16%
Priti Patel
13%
Dan Carden

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any UK political figure who defects to Reform UK before the date of the next election. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Reform UK and reporting in established media outlets (BBC, Telegraph, Guardian). Each answer resolves independently, multiple politicians can resolve YES.

I've added some people who have been speculated in the past, feel free to add more as I'm sure more figures will be named in future. I kept the title vague: feel free to add any people who have at any time been elected to a position in the UK (Councillor, Mayor, PCC, MP, MSP, AM, MS), any sitting or previously sitting lords, or any high profile aides/political employees (Morgan McSweeney, Dominic Cummings types). I've also added a few more general options as well.

(Edit - To clarify, i’ll count Danny Kruger as 1 for the Conservative Q)

As resolution seems pretty clear, I may bet in this market.

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