Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
4
1kṀ358
2040
23%
Lee Anderson
25%
Richard Tice
11%
James McMurdock
11%
Rupert Lowe
10%
Party ceases to exist
21%
Other

Reform UK is a right-wing political party in the United Kingdom. Founded as the Brexit Party in 2018, its current leader is Nigel Farage, who was previously the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP). At the 2024 UK general election, the party won 5 out of 650 constituencies in the House of Commons.

This market resolves to the next permanent leader of the party, following Nigel Farage. Interim leaders do not count. This market will not resolve to Farage, even if he is replaced by an interim leader and then comes back as a permanent leader. If the party is renamed again, that still counts; if the party has multiple co-leaders rather than a single leader (like the Green Party of England and Wales), the market will resolve to PROB evenly split between them.

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opened a Ṁ50 YES at 25% order

Evergreen clarification for Reform-related markets: in the event of a merger of some kind with the Conservatives, does this resolve to "Party ceases to exist" or something else?

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