Will Manifold think Gemini 3 is a big step forward for AI?
4
100Ṁ31
Dec 31
55%
chance

Resolves to the PERCENTAGE of a poll that opens (roughly) when Gemini 3 is released and is open for a week. The poll will be:

Is Gemini 3 a big step forwards for AI or is it basically the same as the other current top models? (Choose whichever feels closest)

  1. Big step forward

  2. Basically the same

  3. Don't know / see results

Resolution will be to % of first option out of first plus second. Third option will not affect result.

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