Is Gemini 3 a big step forwards for AI or is it basically the same as the other current top models?
72
resolved Nov 26
Big step forward
Basically the same
Don't know / see results
Choose whichever feels closest.
See here for context: https://manifold.markets/Jasonb/will-manifold-think-gemini-3-is-a-b
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Phillip from AI Explained says it is a big step forward, and he tends to be fairly restrained:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=chr2I7CZTfk
People are also trading
Related questions
Gemini 3.0 scores 1500+ on Chatbot Arena in 2025? (Without Style Control)
10% chance
Gemini 3 Deep Think available on API in 2025?
17% chance
Before 2026, will Gemini 3.0 exceed GPT-5 in Metr estimated time horizon?
77% chance
Gemini 3.0 Pro outperforms GPT-5 on METR 50% time horizon?
81% chance
How many will Gemini 3.0 achieve? [Read description]
1.93