Resolves YES for the two candidates who finish top 2 in the Californian non partisan jungle primary for governor, to be held June 2, 2026. Example: [image]For example, in 2022 it would have resolved Gavin Newsom and Brian dahle to yes, and everything else would have resolved NO.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Steve Hilton(R), followed by Tom Steyer(D) and Xavier Becerra(D) are most likely. See the market for live updates (25 traders, as of Apr 16, 2026).

Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

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Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

Ṁ1.1kṀ4k

Dec 31

84%

Steve Hilton(R)

72%

Tom Steyer(D)

19%

Xavier Becerra(D)

18%

Matt Mahan (D)

12%

Chad Bianco(R)

Katie Porter(D)

Rick Caruso(D)

1.8%

Butch Ware(G)

Resolves YES for the two candidates who finish top 2 in the Californian non partisan jungle primary for governor, to be held June 2, 2026.

Example:

For example, in 2022 it would have resolved Gavin Newsom and Brian dahle to yes, and everything else would have resolved NO.

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