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MANIFOLD
California Governor Primary Head to Heads
43
Ṁ1.5kṀ17k
resolved Jun 10
Resolved
YES
Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Tom Steyer(NO)
Resolved
YES
Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Steve Hilton (NO)
Resolved
YES
Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Matt Mahan (NO)
Resolved
YES
Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Chad Bianco (NO)
Resolved
YES
Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Katie Porter (NO)
Resolved
YES
Tom Steyer(YES) vs Matt Mahan(NO)
Resolved
YES
Tom Steyer(YES) vs Chad Bianco (NO)
Resolved
YES
Tom Steyer (YES) vs Katie Porter (NO)
Resolved
YES
Steve Hilton (YES) vs Matt Mahan (NO)
Resolved
YES
Steve Hilton (YES) vs Chad Bianco (NO)
Resolved
YES
Steve Hilton (YES) vs Katie Porter(NO)
Resolved
YES
Chad Bianco(YES) vs Katie Porter(NO)
Resolved
NO
Tom Steyer(YES) vs Steve Hilton (NO)
Resolved
NO
Matt Mahan(YES) vs Chad Bianco(NO)
Resolved
NO
Matt Mahan(YES) vs Katie Porter(NO)

Resolves to whoever gets the most votes in each head to head. For example, in Xavier Becerra(YES) vs Tom Steyer(NO) if Xavier Becerra got 10m votes and Steyer got 11m, it would resolve NO as Tom steyer got the most.

Resolves according to official results and major media reporting.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_gubernatorial_election

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I love these kinds of markets because they allow a form of arbitrage-like trading via enforcing transitivity (Bradley–Terry consistency) across pairwise probabilities.

@4fa I was just thinking....

bought Ṁ10 NO

Hello

@AAR here!

bought Ṁ40 YES

20 mana to the first 10 people who place a trade and comment below!

bought Ṁ1 NO

@Jack1 Hello!

opened a Ṁ10 NO at 46% order

@Jack1 Below! 😁

bought Ṁ1 NO

@Jack1 below!

@Jack1 Oh, I have to comment below!

@Jack1 below!

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 *anything

@Qubits no, you can comment anything 😂. I say below so it’s easier for me to find if the market was getting comments elsewhere

bought Ṁ150 NO

@Jack1 done

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bought Ṁ30 YES
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